Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.002397 0.002545 0.002703 0.002885 0.003090 0.003315 0.003582
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002156 0.002357 0.002582 0.002857 0.003189 0.003582 0.004093
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.002021 0.002259 0.002537 0.002895 0.003352 0.003935 0.004765
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001896 0.002155 0.002468 0.002885 0.003445 0.004205 0.005382
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001781 0.002049 0.002381 0.002837 0.003475 0.004385 0.005905
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001730 0.002017 0.002381 0.002900 0.003658 0.004810 0.006928
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001678 0.001979 0.002369 0.002941 0.003811 0.005214 0.008058
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001604 0.001905 0.002302 0.002895 0.003824 0.005386 0.008803
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001525 0.001820 0.002213 0.002808 0.003759 0.005409 0.009233
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001479 0.001777 0.002180 0.002800 0.003819 0.005669 0.010346
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001390 0.001672 0.002053 0.002642 0.003613 0.005385 0.009923
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001362 0.001649 0.002042 0.002660 0.003708 0.005710 0.011373
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001339 0.001632 0.002041 0.002697 0.003847 0.006177 0.013715
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001300 0.001593 0.002005 0.002676 0.003881 0.006425 0.015596
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001279 0.001578 0.002003 0.002711 0.004024 0.006969 0.019619
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001249 0.001548 0.001978 0.002703 0.004081 0.007324 0.023553
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001212 0.001507 0.001934 0.002661 0.004065 0.007480 0.026739
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001202 0.001503 0.001946 0.002717 0.004260 0.008300 0.039682
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001187 0.001493 0.001948 0.002753 0.004418 0.009091 0.063110
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001156 0.001458 0.001908 0.002712 0.004399 0.009290 0.081279
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001119 0.001412 0.001851 0.002635 0.004287 0.009130 0.086958
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001099 0.001392 0.001832 0.002628 0.004338 0.009591 0.147896
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001052 0.001328 0.001742 0.002486 0.004060 0.008733 0.092866